Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD flat-lines below $2,050, focus on geopolitical tensions

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD flat-lines below $2,050, focus on geopolitical tensions
  • Gold rate trades flat around $2,045 in the middle of the United States bank vacation.
  • United States Producer Price Index (PPI) for December increased by 1.0% YoY versus 0.8% prior, listed below market expectations.
  • The intensifying geopolitical stress in the Middle East may increase safe-haven purchasing and advantage gold rate.

Gold rate (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note throughout the early Asian session on Monday. That being stated, the uptick of the yellow metal is supported by the softer United States Producer Rate Index (PPI) information and increasing geopolitical stress in the Middle East. At press time, the gold cost is trading at $2,045, losing 0.01% on the day.

On Friday, the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) for December increased by 1.0% on an annual basis from the modified 0.8% boost in November, listed below market expectations of 1.3%. The yearly core PPI, which omits unstable food and energy costs, climbed up by 1.8% in December from 2.0% in the previous reading and was listed below the marketplace agreement of 1.9%. The month-to-month core PPI stayed the same for the 3rd successive month.

The PPI report exposes some deflationary indications, which assist enhance self-confidence in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cutting interest rates in March. Financiers are pricing in 74.2% chances of a rate cut in March, up from 70% recently, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This, in turn, weighs on the Greenback and functions as a tailwind for the gold cost.

Apart from this, the gains of yellow metal were driven by safe-haven purchasing in the middle of increasing geopolitical stress. The United States and the United Kingdom released strikes versus Houthi targets in Houthi-controlled locations of Yemen recently, marking a substantial action after the Biden administration and its allies alerted that the Iran-backed militant group would bear the repercussions of its attacks on business shipping in the Red Sea.

In the lack of top-tier United States financial information from the United States due to the Martin L. King’s Birthday bank vacation, danger belief is most likely to stay the essential motorist behind the gold rate action. Later on today, the United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index will be due on Tuesday, Retail Sales will be launched on Wednesday, and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index report will be released on Friday.

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