Exclusive-Germany to slash 2024 economic growth forecast to 0.2%, source says

Exclusive-Germany to slash 2024 economic growth forecast to 0.2%, source says

© Reuters. SUBMIT PHOTO: A double decker bus passes the horizon with its controling banking district in Frankfurt, Germany, November 8, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

By Christian Kraemer and Rene Wagner

BERLIN (Reuters) – The German federal government will slash its financial development projection for this year to simply 0.2% in a report due to be released next week, according to a source with understanding of the matter.

Elements adding to the depressed figure– considerably below October’s projection of 1.3%– consisted of low development in the international economy and a German constitutional court judgment that blew a hole in the nation’s spending plan, according to the source.

An economy ministry representative stated on Tuesday night they might not discuss the numbers, including the federal government would offer remark when the main report was released.

The ministry alerted in a different regular monthly report on Wednesday that the anticipated healing of Europe’s biggest economy might be more postponed by geopolitical stress, consisting of in the Red Sea, along with a series of strikes locally.

The dismal potential customers for Germany’s economy in 2024 followed the nation’s economy diminished by 0.3% in 2023 under the pressure of high inflation, increasing rate of interest and a weak worldwide economy.

Both the Ifo and IfW financial institutes reduced their latest 2024 projections however were more positive than the federal government: Ifo is now anticipating financial development of 0.7%, from a previous 0.9%, and the IfW is anticipating 0.9% from 1.3% earlier. They prepare to provide brand-new projections in March.

On the other hand, the German organization association BDI had actually released a low projection in mid-January for development of 0.3%, cautioning that the economy was at a “grinding halt”.

A brand-new projection for 2025 is not anticipated in the report next week. The federal government, which anticipate financial development of 1.5% in October, must provide an upgrade on that figure this spring.

German Finance Minister Christian Lindner stated on Sunday that the union federal government prepared to provide an idea to reinforce Germany’s position as a commercial place this spring, after numerous cautions from both him and Economy Minister Robert Habeck that the nation was losing its competitiveness on an international scale.

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