In China, Deflation Tightens Its Grip

In China, Deflation Tightens Its Grip

Consumer prices fall at sharpest pace in more than 14 years

Updated Feb. 8, 2024 7:18 am ET

SINGAPORE—Deflation is becoming more entrenched in China, with consumer prices falling in January at their steepest pace in more than 14 years—a stark symptom of deepening economic malaise that spells trouble for the global economy.

The latest data suggest China faces a growing risk of slipping into a longer-term spell of falling prices that becomes harder to reverse the longer it lasts.

That presents a special challenge for the rest of the world. While cheaper goods from China might help ease inflation elsewhere, it means the global economy can also expect a flood of cut-price imports as Chinese factories search out buyers overseas for products they can’t sell at home. That risks squeezing other countries’ domestic manufacturing, stoking already acute tensions over trade between China and the U.S.-led West.

China’s sinking prices add to a litany of economic challenges in the country this year. Growth is projected to slow from last year’s underwhelming pace. A drawn-out real-estate crunch is throttling consumer spending, with China Evergrande Group—the poster child for the sector’s woes—ordered into liquidation by a Hong Kong court. Exports are struggling and foreign investors are fleeing. Beijing on Wednesday replaced the country’s top securities regulator after an epic stock-market rout.

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