- EUR/GBP gained momentum and rose to 0.8540.
- The cross will tally a 0.40% weekly loss, and the daily chart shows that the bears are in command.
- In the four-hour chart indicators gained momentum.
During Friday’s trading session, the EUR/GBP rose slightly to 0.8540 showing mild gains. That being said, the bears asserted their influence during the week, leading to a weekly loss of 0.40% pushing the cross down to its lowest point since September.
In that sense, the main factor that is benefiting the Pound over the Euro is that the British economy is holding resilient while the European economies are showing signs of weakness. Moreover, markets are expecting less easing from the Bank of England (BoE) with a total of 125 bps of cuts vs the expected 150 bps from its European peer which also benefits the GBP. This week the ECB met and left its policy unchanged with subtle indications on when the easing will begin, and as for now, markets are seeing the first cut somewhere in Q2.
EUR/GBP daily chart
From a technical outlook on the daily chart, evidence of strong bearish pressure resonates. This is reflected by the negative terrain of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) coupled with its downward slope. Complementing this bearish bias are the increasing red bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), indicating the potential for further downturns. Moreover, the cross remains entrenched below the 20, 100, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs).
Switching to a shorter, four-hour timeframe, a different scenario appears to be forming as indicators seem to be entering in a consolidation phase. The four-hour RSI indicates a positive slope, albeit still within negative territory, signaling a weak recovery moment. Additionally, the decreasing red bars in the four-hour MACD offer a hint of bullish momentum, but without a clear vindication of a reversal. Thus, the buying momentum is seen to have a slight upper hand in this lower time frame, but with a need for further corroboration to offset the broader bearish outlook.
EUR/GBP daily chart
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.